Renowned Analyst: "Bitcoin Bear Market to End by April"—Is a Bottom Signal Emerging?

▲ Bitcoin (BTC)

Bitcoin (BTC) has emitted a strong capitulation signal, unleashing historically large volumes of on-chain loss-cutting sales. In response, analysts suggest that the expected passage of U.S. regulatory legislation in April could mark a turning point, ending the old era of the crypto market and paving the way for a new bullish cycle.

On February 19 (local time), crypto content creator and analyst Lark Davis said in a video published on his YouTube channel that the U.S. crypto market structure bill (CLARITY) is likely to pass by April and could spark renewed momentum in the sluggish market. Davis emphasized that Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong is optimistic about the bill’s approval and that achieving regulatory clarity would serve as a decisive catalyst for a market reset.

Bitcoin recently recorded the third-largest realized on-chain loss in history, signaling a potential entry into a market bottom zone. Davis raised suspicions that major institutions such as Jane Street may be deploying large sell orders at the U.S. market open to pressure prices before accumulating again at lower levels. Eric Trump has maintained strong optimism despite extreme volatility, presenting $1 million as Bitcoin’s long-term price target.

Ethereum (ETH), despite its price decline, is showing the strongest accumulation pattern seen in years. In particular, the substantial amount locked in staking contracts raises the possibility of a sharp price surge driven by future supply shortages. Meanwhile, the altcoin market has experienced 13 consecutive months of net selling, pushing sell-side pressure to the most extreme level in five years. Paradoxically, such investor exit and psychological capitulation are often interpreted as classic signals appearing near the end of a bear market.

The 65% plunge in crypto-related YouTube content production over the past eight weeks indicates that public interest has hit rock bottom. Davis advised that the current period, when many investors and creators are leaving the market, could instead represent a strategic buying opportunity. Although geopolitical risks in the Middle East may heighten short-term volatility, regulatory clarity and institutional capital inflows are expected to drive a long-term revaluation of Bitcoin and Ethereum.

The passage of the U.S. crypto market structure bill scheduled for April and Ethereum’s supply constraints are key variables that could reshape the market paradigm. The current convergence of historically high loss-cutting data and widespread investor capitulation is being viewed as an inflection point, where the crypto market may finally leave behind 13 months of selling pressure and secure new upward momentum.

Disclaimer: This article is for investment reference only and we are not responsible for any investment losses resulting from its use. The content should be interpreted for informational purposes only.