Is the Bitcoin Era Over? Analyst Says XRP Set to Surge as Crypto Market Dominance Collapses

▲ Bitcoin (BTC), XRP / ChatGPT-generated image

As forecasts emerge that Bitcoin dominance is set to post an unprecedented decline, XRP—identified as the biggest potential beneficiary of capital rotation—is reportedly preparing to replicate its historic 70,000% surge.

According to cryptocurrency-focused outlet The Crypto Basic on February 25 (local time), analyst Dark Defender stated that a historic collapse in Bitcoin (BTC) dominance will coincide with XRP’s next explosive rally. The analyst projected that Bitcoin’s market share will fall to unprecedented levels and urged investors to prepare for XRP’s second price expansion phase. This outlook is based on the historical cycle of 2017, when Bitcoin dominance plunged from 95% to 37% and XRP surged more than 70,000%, reaching an all-time high.

Chart analysis presented by the analyst suggests that Bitcoin dominance is likely to undergo a multi-stage decline through 2026. Typically, when Bitcoin’s dominance decreases, market liquidity flows into altcoins, and XRP has consistently been considered a major beneficiary of such capital rotation. XRP has already demonstrated strength this cycle, climbing over 600% from $0.49 to $3.66. However, analysts believe that a true parabolic rally will emerge in the next phase, accompanied by a substantial drop in Bitcoin dominance.

Google Trends data also supports this outlook. Community member Diana pointed out that searches for “Bitcoin is dead” have reached their highest level since the 2022 FTX collapse, suggesting weakening public interest in Bitcoin. Other investors noted that whenever global interest in Bitcoin declined, XRP tended to show relative strength. They projected that if capital flows out of Bitcoin into XRP, an additional surge of up to 1,200% could be possible.

Currently, XRP is trading near $1.30, about 70% below its 2025 peak, reflecting extreme market sentiment. According to on-chain data analytics firm Santiment, XRP recently recorded approximately $908 million in weekly realized losses, marking the highest level since 2022. Historically, such large realized losses occur during capitulation phases when panic-stricken investors sell off holdings. In a prior instance following $1.93 billion in realized losses, XRP rebounded 114% over the next eight months.

Despite Executive Chairman Michael Saylor maintaining his bullish stance that Bitcoin will reach $1 million, some XRP supporters interpret this as a defensive posture aimed at preventing retail investors from exiting. While some critics argue that applying 2017 chart patterns to the current market structure is meaningless, there is little disagreement that extreme pessimism and prolonged downturns have often marked the starting point of powerful trend reversals.

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