Bitcoin Rebounds Alongside U.S. Stocks, Triple-Digit Rally Possible If Key Issue Is Resolved

▲ Bitcoin (BTC)

Bitcoin (BTC) showed a strong recovery alongside the rebound in the U.S. stock market. An unusual decoupling from gold is now drawing attention as a potential indicator of further significant upside.

According to crypto-focused media outlet Cointelegraph on February 25 (local time), Bitcoin rose about 3% amid a rally led by artificial intelligence and technology stocks in the U.S., signaling a fresh start to shake off its sluggish performance at the beginning of 2026. As the Nasdaq climbed 1.05% and the S&P 500 gained 0.68%, stabilizing the tech sector, Bitcoin moved in tandem, reflecting improving investor sentiment. Notably, crypto-related stocks such as Coinbase and Strategy also advanced, spreading optimism across the broader market.

On-chain data analytics firm Santiment highlighted that the correlation between Bitcoin, gold, and equities has fallen to its lowest level since the collapse of FTX in late 2022. According to Santiment, while gold has surged 51% and the S&P 500 has gained 7% since late August last year, Bitcoin has plunged 43%, marking a stark contrast. However, historically, such divergences among assets have not been permanent. If Bitcoin restores its correlation with equities, it could stage a sharp rally to quickly catch up on the gains it has lagged behind.

Indicators signaling a recovery in U.S. demand are also emerging. The Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Index, which measures the price gap between Coinbase and Binance, turned positive for the first time since mid-January, confirming renewed buying pressure in the United States. Additionally, the spot Bitcoin ETF market recorded net inflows of $258 million in a single day on Tuesday, indicating that institutional investors are once again adding Bitcoin to their portfolios.

Darius Sit, founder and Chief Investment Officer of digital asset investment firm QCP Capital, analyzed that the current performance gap between Bitcoin and gold is attributable more to market structure and liquidity issues than to any impairment of Bitcoin’s intrinsic value. Sit emphasized that “the recent weakness is merely a deleveraging process of leveraged positions,” adding that “Bitcoin continues to serve effectively as a long-term inflation hedge and a reliable collateral asset.”

Indeed, throughout 2025, Bitcoin has solidified its position as a mature asset class amid a surge in adoption by institutions, banks, publicly listed companies, and even nation-states. Market experts commonly view the current price level as significantly undervalued if Bitcoin resumes tracking the trajectory of the stock market in an environment of sustained macroeconomic expansion. Steady capital inflows through spot Bitcoin ETFs are expected to play a key role in resolving supply-demand imbalances and strengthening price support going forward.

Bitcoin now stands at the crossroads of a technical rebound and a broader macroeconomic recovery, preparing for a new upward cycle. Whether altcoins such as XRP will join the rally to catch up with gold and equities will also be a crucial factor shaping the market’s direction. Market participants should focus less on short-term volatility and more on the sustainability of real buying demand in the United States and the pace at which correlation with U.S. equities is restored, as they prepare for the next phase of value recovery.

Disclaimer: This article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. The publisher is not responsible for any investment losses incurred based on this information.