After Five-Month Slump, 60,000% Rebound Expected… XRP History Signals Explosive Rally Ahead

▲ XRP / AI-generated image

XRP has recorded an unusual milestone of five consecutive monthly declines for the first time since 2016, displaying a technical pattern reminiscent of the period just before its historic 60,000% surge.

According to cryptocurrency outlet The Crypto Basic on February 25 (local time), XRP has been struggling, at one point falling below $1.40. The downtrend that began in October 2025 has continued with declines of 11.9% in November, 13.8% in December, 14.8% in January, and approximately 17% so far in February. The crypto industry is paying close attention to the fact that this five-month losing streak mirrors the signal that preceded the historic rally between late 2016 and early 2017.

Looking at past cases, XRP declined for five consecutive months from October 2016 to February 2017, shaking out weak buying pressure before launching an unprecedented rebound. At the time, the price, which hovered around $0.005, later surged roughly 60,000%, surpassing $3.30 in January 2018. Cryptocurrency analyst Caesar noted, “The five-month decline back then was a process of clearing unhealthy supply before an explosive rise,” suggesting that the current situation could mark a repeat of a historic rally.

Technical analyst ChartNerd also confirmed that this five-month consecutive decline is statistically very rare, appearing for the first time since 2016 and 2017. Even during the severe bear market of 2022, XRP experienced a maximum of only three consecutive monthly losses. While such an unusual indicator is fueling extreme pessimism in the market, it is also sparking optimism that, if history repeats itself, the current $1.36 level could represent the final bottom before a potential move into triple-digit territory.

If the previous 60,000% surge were replicated from the current price of $1.36, XRP’s theoretical target would reach an astronomical $816. In that scenario, XRP’s market capitalization would approach $50 trillion, surpassing the global gold market cap of $36.2 trillion as well as the combined value of major big tech companies such as NVIDIA and Apple, estimated at $15 trillion. Analysts caution that given the significantly larger market size today, an identical percentage surge is unlikely, but they believe a powerful rebound remains possible.

XRP is currently showing signs of reclaiming leadership in the altcoin market amid Bitcoin’s declining market dominance. Considering its previous surge of approximately 600% from $0.49 in November 2024 to $3.66 in July 2025, a renewed recovery in investor sentiment could trigger another breakout. Experts note that XRP’s positioning within a favorable environment of institutional financial adoption and increasing regulatory clarity may serve as a differentiated growth driver compared to past speculative rallies.

After a prolonged downturn that has rewritten historical records, XRP has reached a new inflection point, and the market is closely watching what comes next. Regardless of whether the 60,000% rally is repeated, a technical rebound following five consecutive monthly declines is expected to deliver significant impact to the market. Investors are advised to focus less on short-term price weakness and more on the broader historical cycle and shifts in supply-demand dynamics, preparing for the volatility ahead.

Disclaimer: This article is for investment reference only and we are not responsible for any investment losses incurred based on it. The information provided should be interpreted for informational purposes only.