XRP Market Cap Up 239%? Explosive Scenario Emerges That Could Spark $5 Rally

▲ XRP (XRP) / AI-generated image

An optimistic analysis has emerged suggesting that XRP is on the verge of entering the $300 billion market capitalization era, backed by expanding institutional adoption and technical rebound signals.

On February 17 (local time), cryptocurrency media outlet Bitcoinist cited an analysis by Bird, an anonymous analyst and XRP Ledger developer, reporting that XRP’s market capitalization could surge more than 239% from its current level. Through social media posts, Bird recently claimed that reaching a $300 billion market cap is imminent, drawing significant market attention. This outlook is based on strong confidence in XRP’s independent growth potential despite the broader downturn in the digital asset market.

Using TradingView charts, Bird laid out a detailed breakout scenario for XRP’s market capitalization. At the time of analysis, the market cap stood at approximately $88.38 billion and appeared ready to break above the long-term downtrend line that has persisted since early 2025. A key factor supporting a potential rebound is that the market cap has been consolidating within a long-term support zone between $80 billion and $100 billion, building momentum. Based on Fibonacci extension levels, Bird projected that the next target would be the $300 billion mark, aligned with the 1.618 level.

If XRP’s market capitalization reaches $300 billion, the price per token would rise to around $5, considering the current circulating supply of approximately 60.91 billion coins. This represents a rally of about 271% from its current trading price of around $1.47. Although $5 marks a substantial increase from current levels, many within the community still view it as undervalued. Some investors argue that given XRP’s potential to drive financial innovation, its market cap should reach into the trillions, leading to mixed reactions to the latest projection.

Technical indicators are lending support to this optimism. If XRP sequentially reclaims key Fibonacci retracement levels from 23.6% to 78.6%, price momentum is expected to accelerate. In particular, breaking through the resistance zone near $225 billion, corresponding to the 1.0 Fibonacci level, is seen as the decisive turning point that could determine whether XRP advances smoothly toward $300 billion. The analyst suggested that the current buying pressure may mark the end of the long-term downtrend and signal the beginning of a new supercycle.

Following legal clarity achieved in the case between Ripple and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, XRP has been rapidly establishing itself as a core asset within institutional financial infrastructure. Achieving a $300 billion market cap would signify more than a price surge; it would position XRP alongside Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) in the global financial ecosystem. Market participants are closely watching whether Bird’s forecast of a $300 billion breakthrough will materialize, potentially ending a decade of stagnation and ushering in a new chapter in XRP’s price history.

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