“Accurately predicted Bitcoin’s fall to $60,000”… Fundstrat’s Sean Farrell says it’s now heading to $115,000
“Accurately predicted Bitcoin’s fall to $60,000”… Fundstrat’s Sean Farrell says it’s now heading to $115,000
Fundstrat’s Sean Farrell Nails His 2026 Scenario: “The First-Half Pullback Is a Buying Opportunity, $115,000 by Year-End”
As Bitcoin recently slid to around $60,000 and fear gripped markets, a Wall Street analyst’s report that accurately foresaw the downturn is being revisited. The analyst is Sean Farrell, Head of Digital Asset Strategy at U.S. investment research firm Fundstrat. While most were touting a “super cycle,” Farrell alone argued for a “first-half correction.” As the market moved exactly as he predicted, investors are now turning their attention to his next target: $115,000.
◇ “A Bottom at $60,000–$65,000”… A Chillingly Accurate Call
According to industry sources on the 7th (local time), Farrell warned in internal reports sent to clients late last year and early this year that “in the first half of 2026, the market will experience volatility and Bitcoin could fall into the $60,000 to $65,000 (60k–65k) range.” At the time, he urged risk management, citing the exhaustion of ETF inflows and post-halving miner selling pressure as catalysts for short-term price declines.
Bitcoin’s recent move—briefly dipping into the low $60,000s on the 6th before rebounding sharply to around $71,000—aligns perfectly with Farrell’s scenario. Even as Fundstrat’s Head of Research Tom Lee pushed an aggressive bullish case for prices above $200,000, Farrell consistently emphasized risk management and tactical responses, warning of potential shakeouts.
◇ “The Correction Is Over; Prices Will Aim for $115,000 by Year-End”
The market’s focus is now on what comes next. Farrell views the recent correction not as the start of a bear market, but as a process paving the way for a second-half rebound. In his report, he said that both Bitcoin and Ethereum are likely to rebound by year-end, projecting that Bitcoin will build a base and reach $115,000 by December 2026.
His optimism is also evident in his outlook for Ethereum (ETH). Farrell predicted that Ethereum would fall to the $1,800–$2,000 range in the first half, and Ethereum recently slid into the $1,800s, confirming the accuracy of his analysis. He expects Ethereum to climb to $4,500 by year-end after completing its correction.
◇ Tom Lee vs. Sean Farrell: A Balance of “Idealism” and “Realism”
Interestingly, perspectives within Fundstrat itself diverge subtly between Tom Lee and Sean Farrell. While Lee has fueled expectations with a macro-driven call for a super bull market above $200,000, Farrell has presented a more “realistic scenario,” grounded in short-term supply-demand imbalances and volatility.
Market participants are giving higher marks to Farrell’s “sense of realism” after his precise call on the recent crash. One industry source said, “With support at $60,000 confirmed, more capital will bet on Farrell’s $115,000 scenario,” adding, “Once the chaotic first half ends, a full-fledged rally is likely to begin in the second half.”
*Disclaimer: This article is for investment reference only and does not assume responsibility for any investment losses incurred based on it. The content should be interpreted solely for informational purposes.*
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